AAA predicts high travel volume for this Labor Day
From Illinois Business Journal news services
AURORA – AAA Travel projects 35.5 million Americans will journey 50 miles or more from home during the Labor Day holiday weekend, the highest travel volume for the holiday since 2008 and a 1 percent increase over 2014.
While the majority of travelers (30.4 million, 86 percent of all travelers) will celebrate the holiday with a final road trip before summer comes to a close, air travel is also projected to grow 1.5 percent this holiday. More than 2.6 million travelers are expected to travel by air, making this the largest volume of air travel since 2007 for this holiday period. The Labor Day holiday travel period is defined as Thursday, Sept. 3, to Monday, Sept. 7.
“Though some consumers remain cautious, these positive indicators are driving a slight increase and allowing millions of Americans to travel on one last summer getaway.”
In Illinois, 1.9 million people will be traveling for the holiday weekend, which is a 0.8 percent increase from 2014. Of those travelers, just over 1.7 million will be driving (a 0.7 percent increase compared with 2014) and just over 72,000 will be flying to their destination (a 3.1 percent increase from 2014). Gas prices across Illinois are on average $2.98, down significantly from $3.52 in 2014.
In Indiana, just over 816,000 people are expected to travel, which is a 1.4 percent increase from 2014. Of those, 725,000 are expected to travel by auto (1.3 percent increase) and about 31,000 by air (3.8 percent increase). In Indiana, gas prices are on average $2.73 per gallon, down from $3.44 this time last year. The average price nationally for gas is $2.58.
Highlights from 2015 Labor Day Travel Forecast:
Historically, when Labor Day weekend falls later in the calendar, Americans have shown less inclination to travel. As Labor Day falls on Sept. 7, the latest possible day it can occur, the overall travel growth potential is dampened somewhat this year.
Rising wages and falling gas prices have helped boost disposable income, which has risen 3.5 percent over last year, but some consumers are using that money to save and pay debts.
Automobile travel will increase by 1.1 percent this year, with 30.4 million travelers hitting the road.
Nearly 7.4 percent of travelers (2.6 million) will travel by air, a 1.5 percent increase from last year.
“A strong labor market coupled with greater job security and rising home prices have all helped to increase disposable income,” said AAA Chicago spokesperson Beth Mosher. “Though some consumers remain cautious, these positive indicators are driving a slight increase and allowing millions of Americans to travel on one last summer getaway.”
Lowest Labor Day gas prices in at least five years expected
Despite recent price spikes in the Midwest gas prices, travelers continue to benefit from substantially lower prices compared to recent years. Drivers in Illinois and Indiana will pay the lowest gas prices since 2010 and 2009 respectively. The national average price for a gallon of gasoline is $2.57, $.86 cents less than the average price from a year ago; this is the lowest U.S. average since 2009. Drivers can use the AAA Mobile app to find the lowest gas prices close to home and along the way to their holiday destinations. Travelers can also plan routes and fun stops for the family at AAA.com using AAA’s TripTik Travel Planner; members can save customized routes for use on a smartphone, tablet or with the AAA Mobile app.
Airfares Dip, Hotel Rates Climb
According to AAA’s Leisure Travel Index, hotel rates are expected to average higher this Labor Day holiday, while the cost of a flight is slightly lower.
AAA Three Diamond lodgings are expected to be the highest in five years, increasing 2 percent from one year ago, with travelers spending an average of $175 compared to $171.
The average rate for Two Diamond properties increased 10 percent from Labor Day 2014. Year-to-date through August, the average rate for Two Diamond hotels has increased 9 percent. The $138 average is 13 dollars higher than last year, and the highest for this holiday in the past five years.
Airfares are down 1 percent, with the average round-trip discounted fare for the top 40 U.S. routes costing $216, down from $219 last year.
AAA’s projections are based on economic forecasting and research by IHS Global Insight. The Colorado-based business information provider teamed with AAA in 2009 to jointly analyze travel trends during the major holidays. AAA has been reporting on holiday travel trends for more than two decades.